CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
San Diego State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)5th pct.
Offensive success rate2th pct.
Explosiveness60th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed8th pct.
Havoc rate7th pct.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness85th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)83th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed96th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
San Diego State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)98.7%
Passing100.0%
Rushing100.0%
Receiving97.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-8 · O/U 9-13 · avg. margin -0.3
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026San Diego State 16–41 Toledo
2022Toledo 14–17 San Diego State
Venue & conditions
Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH
70°F · 8.3 mph wind · 0% precip. chance