CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness85th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)83th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed96th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
Ball State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Offensive success rate13th pct.
Explosiveness88th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)4th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed21th pct.
Havoc rate27th pct.
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Ball State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)5.7%
Passing0.0%
Rushing-103.6%
Receiving31.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 12-10 · O/U 13-8-1 · avg. margin -14.3
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Toledo 39–24 Ball State
2025Ball State 9–38 Toledo
2023Toledo 13–6 Ball State
2022Ball State 21–28 Toledo
2021Toledo 22–12 Ball State
2020Ball State 27–24 Toledo
Venue & conditions
Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN
64°F · 10.5 mph wind · 0% precip. chance