CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
USC
Offensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Offensive success rate95th pct.
Explosiveness38th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)34th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed61th pct.
Havoc rate8th pct.
Penn State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)42th pct.
Offensive success rate30th pct.
Explosiveness50th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed60th pct.
Havoc rate69th pct.
USC · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.2%
Passing90.9%
Rushing78.0%
Receiving26.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-13 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +7.7
Penn State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)7.6%
Passing3.3%
Rushing-1.6%
Receiving14.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-15 · O/U 15-13 · avg. margin +13.1
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings2026USC 31–23 Penn State
2024Penn State 33–30 USC
2016USC 52–49 Penn State
Venue & conditions
Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA
67°F · 8.3 mph wind · 2% precip. chance