CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
UTSA
Offensive efficiency (PPA)72th pct.
Offensive success rate69th pct.
Explosiveness20th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)45th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed43th pct.
Havoc rate10th pct.
Texas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Offensive success rate96th pct.
Explosiveness82th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)21th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate32th pct.
UTSA · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.9%
Passing92.7%
Rushing35.8%
Receiving60.6%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11 · O/U 17-7-1 · avg. margin +5.4
Texas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)76.0%
Passing99.8%
Rushing48.0%
Receiving79.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-14 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +10.0
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026UTSA 31–26 Texas State
2025Texas State 43–36 UTSA
2024UTSA 10–49 Texas State
2023Texas State 13–20 UTSA
2020UTSA 51–48 Texas State
2018Texas State 21–25 UTSA
Venue & conditions
Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos, TX
100°F · 13.1 mph wind · 3% precip. chance