CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Virginia
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate72th pct.
Explosiveness6th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)49th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed59th pct.
Havoc rate59th pct.
SMU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)68th pct.
Offensive success rate86th pct.
Explosiveness57th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)58th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed73th pct.
Havoc rate88th pct.
Virginia · Returning production
Overall (PPA)9.5%
Passing1.1%
Rushing21.0%
Receiving8.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 7-17 · avg. margin +2.8
SMU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)56.9%
Passing96.6%
Rushing0.9%
Receiving37.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin +11.5
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Virginia 13–23 SMU
2024SMU 33–7 Virginia
Venue & conditions
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park, TX
67°F · 10 mph wind · 0% precip. chance