
#16
Mississippi State
Bulldogs · SEC
Efficiency & record
With the ball
Efficiency (PPA)0.26380
Success rate48.5%80
Explosiveness1.3071
Points per trip4.6083
Without it
Efficiency allowed0.09346
Success allowed41.7%43
Havoc17.2%68
Stuff rate14.2%12
Last three seasons · 23 games
Overall ATS
13-10
Straight up
5-18
Over / under
13-10
Avg margin
-6.52
home 6-6away 7-3as favorite 4-2as underdog 9-8
A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.
Returning production · 2026
84th of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production
Overall
33.9%
Passing
-0.2%*
Rushing
87.3%
Receiving
27.9%
* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.
Futures
SEC Championship Game+4000
National Championship+22000
To Make the Playoff+800
Number 1 Seed+50000
To Make the Playoffs-2000
To Make the Playoffs+800
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 8.5+146
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 8.5-180
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 7.5-105
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 7.5-115
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 6.5-210
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 6.5+170
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 5.5-200
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 5.5+160
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 4.5-150
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 4.5+125
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 3.5+270
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 3.5-350
Conference Win Totals Under 2.5-115
Conference Win Totals Over 2.5-105
Schedule & lines· 7
- vs
ULMSat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET-28.5O/U 54.5 - @
MinnesotaSat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET-1.5O/U 53.5 - @
South CarolinaSat, Sep 19 · 4:15 PM ET+3O/U 59.5 - vs
MissouriSat, Sep 26 · 7:45 PM ET-3.5O/U 58.5 - vs
AlabamaSat, Oct 3 · 12:10 PM ET+5.5O/U 62.5 - @
LSUSat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET+17.5O/U 56.5 - @
Ole MissFri, Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET+14.5O/U 57.5