
Penn State
Nittany Lions · Big Ten
Efficiency & record
With the ball
Efficiency (PPA)0.16956
Success rate40.4%29
Explosiveness1.2968
Points per trip4.0057
Without it
Efficiency allowed0.10343
Success allowed40.3%54
Havoc17.1%65
Stuff rate21.4%71
Last three seasons · 28 games
Overall ATS
13-15
Straight up
19-9
Over / under
15-13
Avg margin
+13.14
home 6-8away 5-5as favorite 10-12as underdog 3-3
A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.
Returning production · 2026
123rd of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production
Overall
7.6%
Passing
3.3%
Rushing
-1.6%*
Receiving
14.5%
* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.
Futures
Big Ten Championship Game+25000
National Championship+100000
To Make the Playoff+8000
Number 1 Seed+100000
To Make the Playoffs+190
To Make the Playoffs-235
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 10.5+280
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 10.5-370
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 9.5-146
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 9.5+120
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 8.5-110
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 8.5-110
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 7.5-120
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 7.5-102
Conference Win Totals Over 5.5-175
Conference Win Totals Under 5.5+144
Schedule & lines· 7
- vs
MarshallSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET-23.5O/U 53.5 - @
TempleSat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET-24.5O/U 49.5 - vs
BuffaloSat, Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET-39.5O/U 48.5 - vs
WisconsinSat, Sep 26 · 5:00 PM ET-9.5O/U 43.5 - @
NorthwesternFri, Oct 2 · 8:00 PM ET-3O/U 47.5 - vs
USCSat, Oct 10 · 7:35 PM ET+1.5O/U 54.5 - @
MichiganSat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET+6O/U 42.5