Penn State

Nittany Lions · Big Ten

Efficiency & record

With the ball

Efficiency (PPA)0.16956
Success rate40.4%29
Explosiveness1.2968
Points per trip4.0057

Without it

Efficiency allowed0.10343
Success allowed40.3%54
Havoc17.1%65
Stuff rate21.4%71

Last three seasons · 28 games

Overall ATS

13-15

Straight up

19-9

Over / under

15-13

Avg margin

+13.14

home 6-8away 5-5as favorite 10-12as underdog 3-3

A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.

Returning production · 2026

123rd of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production

Overall
7.6%
Passing
3.3%
Rushing
-1.6%*
Receiving
14.5%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.

Futures

Big Ten Championship Game+25000
National Championship+100000
To Make the Playoff+8000
Number 1 Seed+100000
To Make the Playoffs+190
To Make the Playoffs-235
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 10.5+280
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 10.5-370
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 9.5-146
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 9.5+120
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 8.5-110
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 8.5-110
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 7.5-120
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 7.5-102
Conference Win Totals Over 5.5-175
Conference Win Totals Under 5.5+144

Schedule & lines· 7

All win totals · AP Top 25