Bobby'sSports Analytics

NFL

Edges

Props where recent form and the matchup point the same way — 30 on the current board.

What “edge” means here. Two independent things agreeing: the player has cleared this line in at least 60% of his last ten games, and the defence he faces ranks in the softest twelve against that stat. That is agreement, not a claim the price is wrong. Across 640,740 graded props we measured the board at −30.3% at the long end — nothing on this page changes that. The numbers →

PlayerPropL10Opp DOdds
Trevor LawrenceQB JAX vs HOUPassing Yards Over 179.5100%/85g#26-397DK
Drake MayeQB NE vs NYJRush Attempts Over 3.5100%/38g#21-396DK
Chase McLaughlinK TB vs PITKicking Points Over 5.590%/91g#32-180DK
Spencer ShraderK IND vs TENKicking Points Over 7.590%/11g#31-160DK
Spencer ShraderK IND vs TENField Goals Made Over 1.590%/11g#31-159DK
Nico CollinsWR HOU vs JAXReceiving Yards Over 49.590%/74g#30-284DK
Xavier HutchinsonWR HOU vs JAXReceiving Yards Over 14.590%/49g#30-112DK
Kayshon BoutteWR HOU vs JAXReceiving Yards Over 14.590%/41g#30-199DK
Tony PollardRB TEN vs INDRush + Rec Yards Over 49.590%/120g#28-308DK
Trevor LawrenceQB JAX vs HOUCompletions Over 17.590%/85g#28-231DK
Cam LittleK JAX vs HOUKicking Points Over 5.590%/36g#28-215DK
Calvin RidleyWR TEN vs INDReceiving Yards Over 12.590%/94g#28-115DK
Cameron SkatteboRB NYG vs NORush Attempts Over 11.590%/13g#28-273DK
Rome OdunzeWR CHI vs ATLReceiving Yards Over 39.590%/36g#27-131DK
Tony PollardRB TEN vs INDRushing Yards Over 39.590%/119g#27-278DK
Xavier HutchinsonWR HOU vs JAXReceptions Over 1.590%/49g#27-121DK
Tyler LoopK BAL vs CLEKicking Points Over 5.590%/20g#26-258DK
Parker WashingtonWR JAX vs HOUReceiving Yards Over 39.590%/39g#26-315DK
Jakobi MeyersWR JAX vs HOUReceiving Yards Over 24.590%/107g#26-182DK
Matthew StaffordQB LA vs ARIPass + Rush Yards Over 239.590%/177g#26-350DK
Jake ElliottK PHI vs CARKicking Points Over 3.590%/115g#25-317DK
Cameron SkatteboRB NYG vs NORush + Rec Yards Over 49.590%/13g#25-311DK
Kyren WilliamsRB LA vs ARIReceiving Yards Over 14.590%/56g#24-170DK
Matthew StaffordQB LA vs ARIPassing Yards Over 239.590%/177g#24-316DK
Harrison ButkerK KC vs LACKicking Points Over 5.590%/116g#23-377DK
Bryce YoungQB CAR vs PHIPass + Rush Yards Over 209.590%/49g#22-373DK
Jake ElliottK PHI vs CARField Goals Made Over 0.590%/115g#22-398DK
DK MetcalfWR PIT vs TBReceptions Over 2.590%/122g#21-356DK
Chase McLaughlinK TB vs PITField Goals Made Over 1.580%/91g#32-126DK
Tre TuckerWR LV vs BUFReceiving Yards Over 24.580%/51g#31-266DK

Filters: Over only, 60%+ over the last ten logged games, at least four games of sample, opponent ranked in the softest twelve against that stat, price between −400 and +400. Both conditions are descriptions of what has already happened.