Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM EDT
CHI
-1.5
-118
Total
51.5
ATL
+1.5
-102
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,487 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 51.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.7% of the time across 1,480 of them.
Last three seasons
CHI
22-16-3 ATS · 20-21 SU · 17-24 O/U
14-6-2 ATS home
ATL
17-22 ATS · 18-21 SU · 18-21 O/U
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Chicago Bears open a 1.5-point favorite over Atlanta Falcons — about 54% implied to win outright. The 51.5 total prices it near 27–25, one of the week's higher totals.
Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Atlanta Falcons went 8–9 in 2025 — #21 of 32 by point differential (-2.8/g).
Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).
2025 team profiles
Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons