Bobby'sSports Analytics
All matchups
GB
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
DET

Sunday, October 25 at 4:25 PM EDT

GB

+3

+154

Total

52.5

DET

-3

-185

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadGB +3.0+100
SpreadDET -3-120
TotalOver 52.5-110
TotalUnder 52.5-110
MoneylineGB to win+154
MoneylineDET to win-185

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,756 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.5% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 52.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,584 of them.

Last three seasons

GB

15-24-2 ATS · 23-18 SU · 20-20 O/U

5-15-2 ATS away

DET

21-17-2 ATS · 27-13 SU · 25-14 O/U

went over in 25 of 39

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Detroit Lions open a 3-point favorite over Green Bay Packers — about 65% implied to win outright. The 52.5 total prices it near 28–25, one of the week's higher totals.

Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).

Detroit Lions went 9–8 in 2025 — #10 of 32 by point differential (+4.0/g).

Green Bay Packers face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #4).

2025 team profiles

Green Bay Packers

2025 record9-7Point diff / game+1.8Pythag wins (rank)9.3 (#14)2026 SOS rank#4

Detroit Lions

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+4.0Pythag wins (rank)10.0 (#10)2026 SOS rank#27

Props on the board — GB @ DET