Bobby'sSports Analytics
All matchups
IND
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
MIN

Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM EDT

IND

+5.5

+210

Total

43.5

MIN

-5.5

-258

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadIND +5.5-110
SpreadMIN -5.5-110
TotalOver 43.5-110
TotalUnder 43.5-110
MoneylineIND to win+210
MoneylineMIN to win-258

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 5.5 sits half a point short of 6, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 5.5 — the 4-6 point band. In 1,063 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–52.2%) is taken into account.
  • Total 43.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,584 of them.

Last three seasons

IND

21-18 ATS · 18-21 SU · 22-17 O/U

13-9 ATS as an underdog

MIN

24-15-1 ATS · 28-12 SU · 16-24 O/U

15-9-1 ATS as a favorite

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Minnesota Vikings open a 5.5-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts — about 72% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 25–19.

Indianapolis Colts went 8–9 in 2025 — #11 of 32 by point differential (+3.2/g), and were 1.7 wins unlucky versus their margin.

Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).

Indianapolis Colts drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #29).

2025 team profiles

Indianapolis Colts

2025 record8-9Point diff / game+3.2Pythag wins (rank)9.7 (#11)2026 SOS rank#29

Minnesota Vikings

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+0.6Pythag wins (rank)8.8 (#18)2026 SOS rank#11

Props on the board — IND @ MIN