

Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM EDT
IND
+5.5
+210
Total
43.5
MIN
-5.5
-258
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 5.5 sits half a point short of 6, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 5.5 — the 4-6 point band. In 1,063 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–52.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 43.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,584 of them.
Last three seasons
IND
21-18 ATS · 18-21 SU · 22-17 O/U
13-9 ATS as an underdog
MIN
24-15-1 ATS · 28-12 SU · 16-24 O/U
15-9-1 ATS as a favorite
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Minnesota Vikings open a 5.5-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts — about 72% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 25–19.
Indianapolis Colts went 8–9 in 2025 — #11 of 32 by point differential (+3.2/g), and were 1.7 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).
Indianapolis Colts drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #29).
2025 team profiles
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings