Sunday, September 27 at 8:22 PM EDT
FinalLA 26 · DEN 30Lines below are the pre-kickoff close.
LA
-1.5
-112
Total
43.5
DEN
+1.5
-108
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,487 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 43.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.7% of the time across 1,480 of them.
Last three seasons
LA
25-19 ATS · 27-17 SU · 24-20 O/U
17-12 ATS as a favorite
DEN
24-18 ATS · 28-14 SU · 20-22 O/U
15-6 ATS home
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Los Angeles Rams open a 1.5-point favorite over Denver Broncos — about 53% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 23–21.
Los Angeles Rams went 12–5 in 2025 — #3 of 32 by point differential (+10.1/g).
Denver Broncos went 14–3 in 2025 — #7 of 32 by point differential (+5.3/g), but +3.0 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
2025 team profiles
Los Angeles Rams
Denver Broncos