Monday, September 21 at 8:16 PM EDT
FinalNYG 6 · LA 28Lines below are the pre-kickoff close.
NYG
+6.5
+240
Total
47.5
LA
-6.5
-298
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 687 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,584 of them.
Last three seasons
NYG
18-21 ATS · 10-29 SU · 20-19 O/U
LA
25-19 ATS · 27-17 SU · 24-20 O/U
17-12 ATS as a favorite
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Los Angeles Rams open a 6.5-point favorite over New York Giants — about 75% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.
New York Giants went 4–13 in 2025 — #22 of 32 by point differential (-3.4/g), and were 3.1 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Los Angeles Rams went 12–5 in 2025 — #3 of 32 by point differential (+10.1/g).
2025 team profiles
New York Giants
Los Angeles Rams