Sunday, September 13 at 1:04 PM EDT
FinalNYJ 23 · TEN 10Lines below are the pre-kickoff close.
NYJ
+1.5
-102
Total
39.5
TEN
-1.5
-118
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,487 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 39.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.7% of the time across 1,480 of them.
Last three seasons
NYJ
16-22-1 ATS · 10-29 SU · 22-17 O/U
10-14-1 ATS as an underdog
TEN
11-27-1 ATS · 6-33 SU · 22-17 O/U
11-27-1 against the spread
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Tennessee Titans open a 1.5-point favorite over New York Jets — about 54% implied to win outright. The 39.5 total prices it near 21–19, a low-scoring script.
New York Jets went 3–14 in 2025 — #30 of 32 by point differential (-11.9/g).
Tennessee Titans went 3–14 in 2025 — #31 of 32 by point differential (-11.4/g).
2025 team profiles
New York Jets
Tennessee Titans