Sunday, September 27 at 1:03 PM EDT
FinalSEA 31 · WAS 33Lines below are the pre-kickoff close.
SEA
-8.5
-410
Total
40.5
WAS
+8.5
+320
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 8.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,279 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 40.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.6% of the time across 1,293 of them.
Last three seasons
SEA
22-18-2 ATS · 30-12 SU · 23-19 O/U
14-6 ATS away
WAS
21-21 ATS · 20-22 SU · 27-15 O/U
went over in 27 of 42
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Seattle Seahawks open a 8.5-point favorite over Washington Commanders — about 80% implied to win outright. The 40.5 total prices it near 25–16, a low-scoring script.
Seattle Seahawks went 14–3 in 2025 — #1 of 32 by point differential (+11.2/g).
Washington Commanders went 5–12 in 2025 — #27 of 32 by point differential (-5.6/g).
2025 team profiles
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Commanders