Sunday, October 4 at 1:02 PM EDT
FinalTEN 18 · BAL 24Lines below are the pre-kickoff close.
TEN
+11.5
+525
Total
42.5
BAL
-11.5
-750
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 675 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.4–51.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 42.5 — spread in the 10-14 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.0% of the time across 681 of them.
Last three seasons
TEN
11-27-1 ATS · 6-33 SU · 22-17 O/U
11-27-1 against the spread
BAL
20-20-1 ATS · 25-16 SU · 28-13 O/U
went over in 28 of 41
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Baltimore Ravens open a 11.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans — about 88% implied to win outright. The 42.5 total prices it near 27–16.
Tennessee Titans went 3–14 in 2025 — #31 of 32 by point differential (-11.4/g).
Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).
2025 team profiles
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens