Sunday, September 27 at 1:02 PM EDT
FinalTEN 7 · NYG 12Lines below are the pre-kickoff close.
TEN
+2.5
+110
Total
37.5
NYG
-2.5
-130
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 2.5 sits half a point short of 3, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 2.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,487 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 37.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.7% of the time across 1,480 of them.
Last three seasons
TEN
11-27-1 ATS · 6-33 SU · 22-17 O/U
11-27-1 against the spread
NYG
18-21 ATS · 10-29 SU · 20-19 O/U
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
New York Giants open a 2.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans — about 57% implied to win outright. The 37.5 total prices it near 20–18, a low-scoring script.
Tennessee Titans went 3–14 in 2025 — #31 of 32 by point differential (-11.4/g).
New York Giants went 4–13 in 2025 — #22 of 32 by point differential (-3.4/g), and were 3.1 wins unlucky versus their margin.
2025 team profiles
Tennessee Titans
New York Giants